The Hundred — match preview

Birmingham Phoenix v Welsh Fire

Edgbaston | 1 Aug 2026100-ball

Result: Welsh Fire won chasing

Ground trends — Edgbaston

Bowler-friendly powerplay: 1.5 wickets in PP vs 1.3 globally
Chase advantage: 62% win rate chasing vs 38% batting first

In-play & trading angles

Defendable totalA first-innings score of 150+ is defended 80% of the time here. Once a side posts it, the fielding team is live in-play — the market often overrates the chase.
Chasing is favouredChasing sides win 62% here. The side bowling first holds value; the par score plays lower than it looks.
Chase edgeBirmingham Phoenix chase better than Welsh Fire (58.3% vs 33.3% in the Hundred). If Birmingham Phoenix are chasing, they hold value deeper than the scoreboard suggests.

Average runs in the last five 5-ball sets at Edgbaston are 10.2, 8.5, 9.8, 9.9, 10.7 — about 49.1 runs in the closing quarter (21 Hundred matches). Runs lines below that, with batting in hand, are the overs angle.

Full ground stats

Full venue stats →

Avg 1st innings146 (7.73 rpo)

Median 1st innings145

Chase success rate62%

Bat first win rate38%

Toss winner win rate48%

Avg powerplay (1st inns)36.4/1.5

Boundaries per match22.4 fours, 12.8 sixes

Highest chase / lowest defended182 / 154

Based on 21 Hundred matches at this ground.

Team trends

Birmingham Phoenix

Overall23-21 · 52.3%

Recent form

WLWLL

Batting first47.4% (19)

Chasing58.3% (24)

At this ground68.4% (19)

Welsh Fire

Overall13-30 · 30.2%

Recent form

LLWWL

Batting first30% (20)

Chasing33.3% (21)

At this ground66.7% (3)

Head-to-head (last 5 Hundred meetings): Birmingham Phoenix 3, Welsh Fire 2.

Teams

Birmingham Phoenix

· Recently fell short chasing 128 v Southern Brave; fell short chasing 187 v Manchester Super Giants; defended 214 v Trent Rockets (last 3 matches)
· Averaging 143.3 with the bat (3 matches in 2026)
· Conceding an average of 173 — 157.5 bowling first, 204 bowling second (3 matches in 2026)
· Strong overall record at Edgbaston: 13-6 (19 matches)

Welsh Fire

· Recently failed to defend 122 v Trent Rockets; defended 167 v MI London; chased 135 v Southern Brave (last 3 matches)
· Averaging 142.3 with the bat (3 matches in 2026)
· Conceding an average of 137.7 — 135 bowling first, 139 bowling second (3 matches in 2026)

Players

Birmingham Phoenix

Joe Michael Clarkebat

· 95 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 31.67, striking at 158.3 (3 inns, 60 balls)
· Low score of 7, best of 68 (3 inns, 60 balls)
· 1.3 sixes per innings (4 total) (3 inns, 60 balls)
· Strikes at 190.7 against Welsh Fire in the Hundred, 37.5% above the league average, averaging 41 (43 balls faced)

William Conrad Francis Smeedbat

· 94 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 31.33, striking at 146.9 (3 inns, 64 balls)
· Low score of 8, best of 51 (3 inns, 64 balls)
· 1.3 sixes per innings (4 total) (3 inns, 64 balls)
· Strikes at 136.1 against Welsh Fire in the Hundred, 1.9% below the league average, averaging 32.67 (72 balls faced)

Benjamin James Dwarshuisbowl

· 4 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 6.9 runs per 5-ball set (3 inns, 60 balls)
· 1.33 wickets per innings (3 inns, 60 balls)

Scott William Curriebowl

· 3 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 9.8 runs per 5-ball set (3 inns, 55 balls)
· 1 wickets per innings (3 inns, 55 balls)

Welsh Fire

Rachin Ravindrabat

· 138 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 46, striking at 181.6 (3 inns, 76 balls)
· Low score of 16, best of 98 (3 inns, 76 balls)
· 2.3 sixes per innings (7 total) (3 inns, 76 balls)

Matthew William Shortbat

· 64 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 21.33, striking at 128 (3 inns, 50 balls)
· Low score of 8, best of 36 (3 inns, 50 balls)
· 0.7 sixes per innings (2 total) (3 inns, 50 balls)

Marco Jansenbowl

· 2 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 6.9 runs per 5-ball set (3 inns, 57 balls)
· 0.67 wickets per innings (3 inns, 57 balls)

Christopher Roger Woakesbowl

· 1 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 7.4 runs per 5-ball set (3 inns, 55 balls)
· 0.33 wickets per innings (3 inns, 55 balls)

Stats are computed from ball-by-ball Hundred data only — never mixed with T20 — and show their sample sizes.