The Hundred — match preview

London Spirit v Southern Brave

Lord's | 1 Aug 2026100-ball

Result: Southern Brave won chasing

Ground trends — Lord's

Bat first advantage: 62% win rate batting first vs 38% chasing

In-play & trading angles

Defendable totalA first-innings score of 110+ is defended 70% of the time here. Once a side posts it, the fielding team is live in-play — the market often overrates the chase.
Chasing is hard hereChasing sides win only 38% at this ground. A batting-first team stays value even at level par — don't back the chase too early.
Chase edgeSouthern Brave chase better than London Spirit (59.3% vs 23.1% in the Hundred). If Southern Brave are chasing, they hold value deeper than the scoreboard suggests.
Toss mattersTeams batting first win 62% here (vs 38% chasing). Back the side that wins the toss and bats.

Average runs in the last five 5-ball sets at Lord's are 8.9, 7.3, 8.4, 8.2, 10.1 — about 42.9 runs in the closing quarter (26 Hundred matches). Runs lines below that, with batting in hand, are the overs angle.

Full ground stats

Full venue stats →

Avg 1st innings143 (7.35 rpo)

Median 1st innings147

Chase success rate38%

Bat first win rate62%

Toss winner win rate42%

Avg powerplay (1st inns)32.8/1.2

Boundaries per match22.3 fours, 9.8 sixes

Highest chase / lowest defended164 / 123

Based on 26 Hundred matches at this ground.

Team trends

London Spirit

Overall13-30 · 30.2%

Recent form

WLLLW

Batting first35.7% (28)

Chasing23.1% (13)

At this ground38.9% (18)

Southern Brave

Overall24-25 · 49%

Recent form

WLLLW

Batting first42.1% (19)

Chasing59.3% (27)

At this ground50% (4)

Head-to-head (last 4 Hundred meetings): London Spirit 2, Southern Brave 2.

Teams

London Spirit

· Recently chased 164 v MI London; failed to defend 159 v Trent Rockets; fell short chasing 138 v Manchester Super Giants (last 3 matches)
· Averaging 151.7 with the bat (3 matches in 2026)
· Conceding an average of 154 — 151 bowling first, 160 bowling second (3 matches in 2026)

Southern Brave

· Recently defended 128 v Birmingham Phoenix; failed to defend 129 v MI London; fell short chasing 187 v Sunrisers Leeds (last 3 matches)
· Averaging 143.5 with the bat (4 matches in 2026)
· Conceding an average of 142.8 — 187 bowling first, 128 bowling second (4 matches in 2026)
· Wins 59.3% chasing vs 42.1% the other way (19 bat-first / 27 chasing)

Players

London Spirit

Liam Stephen Livingstonebat

· 118 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 39.33, striking at 143.9 (3 inns, 82 balls)
· Low score of 16, best of 69 (3 inns, 82 balls)
· 2 sixes per innings (6 total) (3 inns, 82 balls)
· Strikes at 140 against Southern Brave in the Hundred, 0.9% above the league average, averaging 39.67 (170 balls faced)

Lhuan-dre Gilbert Pretoriusbat

· 100 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 33.33, striking at 181.8 (3 inns, 55 balls)
· Low score of 12, best of 64 (3 inns, 55 balls)
· 3.3 sixes per innings (10 total) (3 inns, 55 balls)

Adam Fraser Milnebowl

· 3 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 5.2 runs per 5-ball set (3 inns, 55 balls)
· 1 wickets per innings (3 inns, 55 balls)

David Jonathan Willeybowl

· 2 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 6.3 runs per 5-ball set (3 inns, 55 balls)
· 0.67 wickets per innings (3 inns, 55 balls)

Southern Brave

Tristan Stubbsbat

· 90 runs in 4 innings in 2026 at an average of 30, striking at 140.6 (4 inns, 64 balls)
· Low score of 4, best of 43 (4 inns, 64 balls)
· 1 sixes per innings (4 total) (4 inns, 64 balls)

Jamie Luke Smithbat

· 88 runs in 4 innings in 2026 at an average of 22, striking at 169.2 (4 inns, 52 balls)
· Low score of 3, best of 49 (4 inns, 52 balls)
· 1.3 sixes per innings (5 total) (4 inns, 52 balls)
· Strikes at 167.7 against London Spirit in the Hundred, 20.9% above the league average, averaging 52 (31 balls faced)

Jofra Chioke Archerbowl

· 1 wickets in 4 innings in 2026 at 6.9 runs per 5-ball set (4 inns, 80 balls)
· 0.25 wickets per innings (4 inns, 80 balls)

Adil Usman Rashidbowl

· 5 wickets in 4 innings in 2026 at 5.2 runs per 5-ball set (4 inns, 80 balls)
· 1.25 wickets per innings (4 inns, 80 balls)

Stats are computed from ball-by-ball Hundred data only — never mixed with T20 — and show their sample sizes.