The Hundred — match preview

Southern Brave v Birmingham Phoenix

The Rose Bowl | 30 Jul 2026100-ball

Result: Southern Brave won defending

Ground trends — The Rose Bowl

Six-sparse: Only 8.3 sixes per match vs 11.3 globally
Chase advantage: 70% win rate chasing vs 30% batting first

In-play & trading angles

Defendable totalA first-innings score of 160+ is defended 100% of the time here. Once a side posts it, the fielding team is live in-play — the market often overrates the chase.
Chasing is favouredChasing sides win 70% here. The side bowling first holds value; the par score plays lower than it looks.

Average runs in the last five 5-ball sets at The Rose Bowl are 9.7, 9.5, 7.7, 8.5, 10.8 — about 46.2 runs in the closing quarter (23 Hundred matches). Runs lines below that, with batting in hand, are the overs angle.

Full ground stats

Full venue stats →

Avg 1st innings140 (7.17 rpo)

Median 1st innings138

Chase success rate70%

Bat first win rate30%

Toss winner win rate57%

Avg powerplay (1st inns)35.3/1.3

Boundaries per match23.2 fours, 8.3 sixes

Highest chase / lowest defended152 / 128

Based on 23 Hundred matches at this ground.

Team trends

Southern Brave

Overall23-25 · 47.9%

Recent form

LWLLL

Batting first38.9% (18)

Chasing59.3% (27)

At this ground68.4% (19)

Birmingham Phoenix

Overall23-20 · 53.5%

Recent form

LWLWL

Batting first47.4% (19)

Chasing60.9% (23)

At this ground0% (3)

Head-to-head (last 7 Hundred meetings): Southern Brave 5, Birmingham Phoenix 2.

Teams

Southern Brave

· Winless at The Rose Bowl this season (0/2) (2 matches at the ground)
· Recently failed to defend 129 v MI London; fell short chasing 187 v Sunrisers Leeds; failed to defend 135 v Welsh Fire (last 3 matches)
· Averaging 148.7 with the bat (3 matches in 2026)
· Conceding an average of 151.7 — 187 bowling first, 134 bowling second (3 matches in 2026)
· Wins 59.3% chasing vs 38.9% the other way (18 bat-first / 27 chasing)
· Strong overall record at The Rose Bowl: 13-6 (19 matches)
· Leads the H2H vs Birmingham Phoenix 5-2 (7 meetings)

Birmingham Phoenix

· Recently fell short chasing 187 v Manchester Super Giants; defended 214 v Trent Rockets (last 2 matches)
· Averaging 157 with the bat (2 matches in 2026)
· Conceding an average of 195.5 — 187 bowling first, 204 bowling second (2 matches in 2026)
· Trails the H2H vs Southern Brave 1-6 (7 meetings)

Key matchups

W Smeed vs C Jordan21/13 · SR 162 · 0w

W Smeed has dominated C Jordan — SR 162 off 13 balls

From these two sides' historical Hundred meetings — a guide to duels that may recur.

Players

Southern Brave

Tristan Stubbsbat

· 85 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 42.5, striking at 146.6 (3 inns, 58 balls)
· Low score of 4, best of 43 (3 inns, 58 balls)
· 1.3 sixes per innings (4 total) (3 inns, 58 balls)

Jamie Luke Smithbat

· 82 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 27.33, striking at 174.5 (3 inns, 47 balls)
· Low score of 3, best of 49 (3 inns, 47 balls)
· 1.7 sixes per innings (5 total) (3 inns, 47 balls)

Jofra Chioke Archerbowl

· 0 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 7.4 runs per 5-ball set (3 inns, 60 balls)
· 0 wickets per innings (3 inns, 60 balls)

Adil Usman Rashidbowl

· 4 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 5.4 runs per 5-ball set (3 inns, 60 balls)
· 1.33 wickets per innings (3 inns, 60 balls)

Birmingham Phoenix

Joe Michael Clarkebat

· 88 runs in 2 innings in 2026 at an average of 44, striking at 176 (2 inns, 50 balls)
· 2 sixes per innings (4 total) (2 inns, 50 balls)
· Strikes at 96.1 against Southern Brave in the Hundred, 30.7% below the league average, averaging 10.43 (76 balls faced)

William Conrad Francis Smeedbat

· 59 runs in 2 innings in 2026 at an average of 29.5, striking at 163.9 (2 inns, 36 balls)
· 1.5 sixes per innings (3 total) (2 inns, 36 balls)
· Strikes at 171.6 against Southern Brave in the Hundred, 23.7% above the league average, averaging 46.33 (81 balls faced)

Saqib Mahmoodbowl

· 1 wickets in 2 innings in 2026 at 9.8 runs per 5-ball set (2 inns, 40 balls)

Benjamin James Dwarshuisbowl

· 2 wickets in 2 innings in 2026 at 8.1 runs per 5-ball set (2 inns, 40 balls)

Stats are computed from ball-by-ball Hundred data only — never mixed with T20 — and show their sample sizes.