The Hundred — match preview

Southern Brave v Welsh Fire

The Rose Bowl | 22 Jul 2026100-ball

Result: Welsh Fire won chasing

Ground trends — The Rose Bowl

Six-sparse: Only 8.3 sixes per match vs 11.3 globally
Chase advantage: 70% win rate chasing vs 30% batting first

In-play & trading angles

Defendable totalA first-innings score of 160+ is defended 100% of the time here. Once a side posts it, the fielding team is live in-play — the market often overrates the chase.
Chasing is favouredChasing sides win 70% here. The side bowling first holds value; the par score plays lower than it looks.
Chase edgeSouthern Brave chase better than Welsh Fire (61.5% vs 30% in the Hundred). If Southern Brave are chasing, they hold value deeper than the scoreboard suggests.

Average runs in the last five 5-ball sets at The Rose Bowl are 9.7, 9.5, 7.7, 8.5, 10.8 — about 46.2 runs in the closing quarter (23 Hundred matches). Runs lines below that, with batting in hand, are the overs angle.

Full ground stats

Full venue stats →

Avg 1st innings140 (7.17 rpo)

Median 1st innings138

Chase success rate70%

Bat first win rate30%

Toss winner win rate57%

Avg powerplay (1st inns)35.3/1.3

Boundaries per match23.2 fours, 8.3 sixes

Highest chase / lowest defended152 / 128

Based on 23 Hundred matches at this ground.

Team trends

Southern Brave

Overall23-22 · 51.1%

Recent form

LLWLW

Batting first43.8% (16)

Chasing61.5% (26)

At this ground68.4% (19)

Welsh Fire

Overall11-29 · 27.5%

Recent form

LLWLL

Batting first27.8% (18)

Chasing30% (20)

At this ground0% (4)

Head-to-head (last 9 Hundred meetings): Southern Brave 8, Welsh Fire 1.

Teams

Southern Brave

· Wins 61.5% chasing vs 43.8% the other way (16 bat-first / 26 chasing)
· Strong overall record at The Rose Bowl: 13-6 (19 matches)
· Leads the H2H vs Welsh Fire 8-1 (9 meetings)

Welsh Fire

· Won only 2 of last 10 (10 matches)
· Trails the H2H vs Southern Brave 1-8 (9 meetings)

Players

Southern Brave

James Michael Vincebat

· 432 runs in 15 innings in the last 15 matches at an average of 33.23, striking at 135 (15 inns, 320 balls)
· Low score of 3, best of 90 (15 inns, 320 balls)
· 0.7 sixes per innings (10 total) (15 inns, 320 balls)
· Strikes at 145 against Welsh Fire in the Hundred, 4.5% above the league average, averaging 51 (211 balls faced)

Jacobus Leus du Plooybat

· 279 runs in 15 innings in the last 15 matches at an average of 21.46, striking at 124.6 (15 inns, 224 balls)
· Low score of 0, best of 55 (15 inns, 224 balls)
· 0.7 sixes per innings (11 total) (15 inns, 224 balls)
· Strikes at 121.9 against Welsh Fire in the Hundred, 12.1% below the league average, averaging 22.25 (73 balls faced)

Jofra Chioke Archerbowl

· 15 wickets in 12 innings in the last 15 matches at 6.6 runs per 5-ball set (12 inns, 240 balls)
· 1.25 wickets per innings (12 inns, 240 balls)

Tymal Solomon Millsbowl

· 23 wickets in 13 innings in the last 15 matches at 7.5 runs per 5-ball set (13 inns, 240 balls)
· 1.77 wickets per innings (13 inns, 240 balls)

Welsh Fire

Jonathan Marc Bairstowbat

· 353 runs in 13 innings in the last 15 matches at an average of 29.42, striking at 141.2 (13 inns, 250 balls)
· Low score of 0, best of 86 (13 inns, 250 balls)
· 1.1 sixes per innings (14 total) (13 inns, 250 balls)
· Strikes at 145.1 against Southern Brave in the Hundred, 4.6% above the league average, averaging 22 (91 balls faced)

Tom Kohler-Cadmorebat

· 301 runs in 13 innings in the last 15 matches at an average of 25.08, striking at 129.7 (13 inns, 232 balls)
· Low score of 1, best of 84 (13 inns, 232 balls)
· 1.2 sixes per innings (16 total) (13 inns, 232 balls)
· Strikes at 137.4 against Southern Brave in the Hundred, 0.9% below the league average, averaging 24.5 (107 balls faced)

David Alan Paynebowl

· 15 wickets in 13 innings in the last 15 matches at 7.3 runs per 5-ball set (13 inns, 235 balls)
· 1.15 wickets per innings (13 inns, 235 balls)

Christopher James Greenbowl

· 11 wickets in 8 innings in the last 15 matches at 7.3 runs per 5-ball set (8 inns, 153 balls)
· 1.38 wickets per innings (8 inns, 153 balls)

Stats are computed from ball-by-ball Hundred data only — never mixed with T20 — and show their sample sizes.