Caribbean Premier League — match preview

St Kitts and Nevis Patriots v Antigua and Barbuda Falcons

Warner Park, Basseterre, St Kitts | 30 Aug 2026T20

Ground trends — Warner Park, Basseterre, St Kitts

Six-friendly: 16.5 sixes per match vs 10.9 globally
Chase advantage: 58% win rate chasing vs 42% batting first

In-play & trading angles

Defendable totalA first-innings score of 180+ is defended 71% of the time here. Once a side posts it, the fielding team is live in-play — the market often overrates the chase.
Chasing is favouredChasing sides win 58% here. The side bowling first holds value; the par score plays lower than it looks.
Chase edgeAntigua and Barbuda Falcons chase better than St Kitts and Nevis Patriots (66.7% vs 43.1% in the CPL). If Antigua and Barbuda Falcons are chasing, they hold value deeper than the scoreboard suggests.

Average runs in the last five overs at Warner Park, Basseterre, St Kitts are 7.6, 8.7, 8.2, 9.5, 11.1 — about 45.1 runs in the closing quarter (93 men's T20 matches). Runs lines below that, with batting in hand, are the overs angle.

Full ground stats

Full venue stats →

Avg 1st innings167 (8.4 rpo)

Median 1st innings164

Chase success rate58%

Bat first win rate42%

Toss winner win rate54%

Avg powerplay (1st inns)46.7/1.6

Boundaries per match22.7 fours, 16.5 sixes

Highest chase / lowest defended242 / 142

Based on 93 men's T20 matches at this ground.

Team trends

St Kitts and Nevis Patriots

Overall42-72 · 36.8%

Recent form

WWWLL

Batting first32.1% (53)

Chasing43.1% (58)

At this ground40% (50)

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons

Overall10-15 · 40%

Recent form

LLWWL

Batting first15.4% (13)

Chasing66.7% (12)

At this ground50% (2)

Head-to-head (last 5 CPL meetings): St Kitts and Nevis Patriots 2, Antigua and Barbuda Falcons 3.

Teams

St Kitts and Nevis Patriots

· Recently failed to defend 187 v Antigua and Barbuda Falcons; fell short chasing 181 v Jamaica Kingsmen; chased 155 v Saint Lucia Kings (last 3 matches)
· Averaging 157.7 with the bat (3 matches in 2026)
· Conceding an average of 175.7 — 168 bowling first, 191 bowling second (3 matches in 2026)

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons

· Recently failed to defend 116 v Guyana Amazon Warriors; chased 165 v Trinbago Knight Riders; chased 187 v St Kitts and Nevis Patriots (last 3 matches)
· Averaging 151.2 with the bat (158.3 at home, 140.5 away) (5 matches in 2026)
· Conceding an average of 142.8 — 179.7 bowling first, 87.5 bowling second (5 matches in 2026)
· Wins 66.7% chasing vs 15.4% the other way (13 bat-first / 12 chasing)

Key matchups

S Khan vs J Holder24/9 · SR 267 · 1w

S Khan has dominated J Holder — SR 267 off 9 balls

E Lewis vs K Mayers20/10 · SR 200 · 1w

E Lewis has dominated K Mayers — SR 200 off 10 balls

J Charles vs J Seales15/8 · SR 188 · 1w

J Charles has dominated J Seales — SR 188 off 8 balls

K Mayers vs S Springer37/14 · SR 264 · 0w

K Mayers has dominated S Springer — SR 264 off 14 balls

A Fletcher vs J Seales16/15 · SR 107 · 1w

16 runs off 15 balls, 1 dismissal

From these two sides' historical CPL meetings — a guide to duels that may recur.

Players

St Kitts and Nevis Patriots

Andre David Stephon Fletcherbat

· 75 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 75, striking at 108.7 (3 inns, 69 balls)
· Low score of 7, best of 48 (3 inns, 69 balls)
· 1 sixes per innings (3 total) (3 inns, 69 balls)
· Strikes at 95.7 against Antigua and Barbuda Falcons in the CPL, 23.3% below the league average, averaging 22.25 (93 balls faced)

Kyle Rico Mayersbat

· 74 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 24.67, striking at 176.2 (3 inns, 42 balls)
· Low score of 8, best of 34 (3 inns, 42 balls)
· 2 sixes per innings (6 total) (3 inns, 42 balls)
· Strikes at 162 against Antigua and Barbuda Falcons in the CPL, 29.9% above the league average, averaging 25.6 (79 balls faced)

Obed Christopher McCoybowl

· 3 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 7.8 runs per over (3 inns, 72 balls)
· 1 wickets per innings (3 inns, 72 balls)

Jason Omar Holderbowl

· 6 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 7.4 runs per over (3 inns, 72 balls)
· 2 wickets per innings (3 inns, 72 balls)

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons

Evin Lewisbat

· 97 runs in 3 innings in 2026 at an average of 32.33, striking at 144.8 (3 inns, 67 balls)
· Low score of 1, best of 48 (3 inns, 67 balls)
· 3.3 sixes per innings (10 total) (3 inns, 67 balls)
· Strikes at 126.3 against St Kitts and Nevis Patriots in the CPL, 1.3% above the league average, averaging 48 (38 balls faced)

Rahkeem Rashawn Shane Cornwallbat

· 53 runs in 2 innings in 2026 at an average of 26.5, striking at 176.7 (2 inns, 30 balls)
· 2.5 sixes per innings (5 total) (2 inns, 30 balls)
· Strikes at 161.4 against St Kitts and Nevis Patriots in the CPL, 29.4% above the league average, averaging 30.36 (207 balls faced)

Jayden Nigel Tristen Sealesbowl

· 2 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 9.9 runs per over (3 inns, 60 balls)
· 0.67 wickets per innings (3 inns, 60 balls)

Alzarri Shaheim Josephbowl

· 4 wickets in 3 innings in 2026 at 8.6 runs per over (3 inns, 60 balls)
· 1.33 wickets per innings (3 inns, 60 balls)

Stats are computed from ball-by-ball data and show their sample sizes. Ground figures cover every men's T20 played there, not CPL alone.