The Hundred — match preview

Sunrisers Leeds v Welsh Fire

Headingley | 9 Aug 2026, 14:30100-ball

Ground trends — Headingley

Defending-friendly: Only 45% chase success vs 54% globally
Six-friendly: 16.3 sixes per match vs 11.3 globally
Batter-friendly powerplay: Only 1 wickets in PP vs 1.3 globally

In-play & trading angles

Defendable totalA first-innings score of 150+ is defended 77% of the time here. Once a side posts it, the fielding team is live in-play — the market often overrates the chase.
Chasing is hard hereChasing sides win only 45% at this ground. A batting-first team stays value even at level par — don't back the chase too early.
Chase edgeSunrisers Leeds chase better than Welsh Fire (52.6% vs 39.1% in the Hundred). If Sunrisers Leeds are chasing, they hold value deeper than the scoreboard suggests.

Average runs in the last five 5-ball sets at Headingley are 10.4, 11, 11, 10.7, 11 — about 54.1 runs in the closing quarter (20 Hundred matches). Runs lines below that, with batting in hand, are the overs angle.

Full ground stats

Full venue stats →

Avg 1st innings170 (8.84 rpo)

Median 1st innings173

Chase success rate45%

Bat first win rate55%

Toss winner win rate30%

Avg powerplay (1st inns)40.6/1

Boundaries per match27.4 fours, 16.3 sixes

Highest chase / lowest defended186 / 135

Based on 20 Hundred matches at this ground.

Team trends

Sunrisers Leeds

Overall22-23 · 48.9%

Recent form

LWWLW

Batting first52.2% (23)

Chasing52.6% (19)

At this ground47.4% (19)

Welsh Fire

Overall15-31 · 32.6%

Recent form

WLWWL

Batting first28.6% (21)

Chasing39.1% (23)

At this ground66.7% (3)

Head-to-head (last 4 Hundred meetings): Sunrisers Leeds 2, Welsh Fire 2.

Teams

Sunrisers Leeds

· Unbeaten at Headingley this season (3/3) (3 matches at the ground)
· Recently defended 241 v London Spirit; fell short chasing 146 v Trent Rockets; chased 181 v Manchester Super Giants (last 3 matches)
· Averaging 179.6 with the bat (204.7 at home, 142 away) (5 matches in 2026)
· Conceding an average of 171.4 — 163.5 bowling first, 176.7 bowling second (5 matches in 2026)

Welsh Fire

· Recently failed to defend 155 v Manchester Super Giants; chased 115 v Southern Brave; chased 137 v Birmingham Phoenix (last 3 matches)
· Averaging 139.3 with the bat (135 at home, 143.7 away) (6 matches in 2026)
· Conceding an average of 137.7 — 129 bowling first, 146.3 bowling second (6 matches in 2026)

Key matchups

H Brook vs L Ferguson19/9 · SR 211 · 0w

H Brook has dominated L Ferguson — SR 211 off 9 balls

From these two sides' historical Hundred meetings — a guide to duels that may recur.

Players

Sunrisers Leeds

Mitchell Ross Marshbat

· 290 runs in 5 innings in 2026 at an average of 58, striking at 182.4 (5 inns, 159 balls)
· Low score of 41, best of 76 (5 inns, 159 balls)
· 4.6 sixes per innings (23 total) (5 inns, 159 balls)

Ryan David Rickeltonbat

· 169 runs in 5 innings in 2026 at an average of 42.25, striking at 170.7 (5 inns, 99 balls)
· Low score of 0, best of 94 (5 inns, 99 balls)
· 2.6 sixes per innings (13 total) (5 inns, 99 balls)

Brydon Alexander Carsebowl

· 5 wickets in 5 innings in 2026 at 8.5 runs per 5-ball set (5 inns, 100 balls)
· 1 wickets per innings (5 inns, 100 balls)

Nathan Ellisbowl

· 7 wickets in 5 innings in 2026 at 7.4 runs per 5-ball set (5 inns, 100 balls)
· 1.4 wickets per innings (5 inns, 100 balls)

Welsh Fire

Matthew William Shortbat

· 195 runs in 5 innings in 2026 at an average of 48.75, striking at 141.3 (5 inns, 138 balls)
· Low score of 8, best of 71 (5 inns, 138 balls)
· 1.2 sixes per innings (6 total) (5 inns, 138 balls)

Rachin Ravindrabat

· 159 runs in 6 innings in 2026 at an average of 31.8, striking at 176.7 (6 inns, 90 balls)
· Low score of 0, best of 98 (6 inns, 90 balls)
· 1.3 sixes per innings (8 total) (6 inns, 90 balls)
· Strikes at 210.8 against Sunrisers Leeds in the Hundred, 52% above the league average, averaging 78 (37 balls faced)

Marco Jansenbowl

· 4 wickets in 6 innings in 2026 at 7.1 runs per 5-ball set (6 inns, 112 balls)
· 0.67 wickets per innings (6 inns, 112 balls)

Christopher Roger Woakesbowl

· 3 wickets in 6 innings in 2026 at 7 runs per 5-ball set (6 inns, 110 balls)
· 0.5 wickets per innings (6 inns, 110 balls)

Stats are computed from ball-by-ball Hundred data only — never mixed with T20 — and show their sample sizes.