The Hundred — match preview
Welsh Fire v MI London
Sophia Gardens | 25 Jul 2026100-ball
Result: Welsh Fire won defending
Ground trends — Sophia Gardens
- Six-sparse: Only 8.7 sixes per match vs 11.3 globally
- Challenging powerplay: Only 28.6 runs in PP vs 35.7 globally
- Bowler-friendly powerplay: 1.5 wickets in PP vs 1.3 globally
In-play & trading angles
- Defendable totalA first-innings score of 160+ is defended 75% of the time here. Once a side posts it, the fielding team is live in-play — the market often overrates the chase.
- Chase edgeMI London chase better than Welsh Fire (69.6% vs 33.3% in the Hundred). If MI London are chasing, they hold value deeper than the scoreboard suggests.
Average runs in the last five 5-ball sets at Sophia Gardens are 8.6, 9.3, 8.1, 8.8, 8.8 — about 43.6 runs in the closing quarter (22 Hundred matches). Runs lines below that, with batting in hand, are the overs angle.
Full ground stats
Full venue stats →Avg 1st innings135 (7.27 rpo)
Median 1st innings139
Chase success rate50%
Bat first win rate50%
Toss winner win rate32%
Avg powerplay (1st inns)28.6/1.5
Boundaries per match22.4 fours, 8.7 sixes
Highest chase / lowest defended165 / 94
Based on 22 Hundred matches at this ground.
Team trends
Welsh Fire
Overall12-29 · 29.3%
Recent form
LWLLW
Batting first27.8% (18)
Chasing33.3% (21)
At this ground26.3% (19)
MI London
Overall30-13 · 69.8%
Recent form
WLWWW
Batting first70% (20)
Chasing69.6% (23)
At this ground100% (2)
Head-to-head (last 5 Hundred meetings): Welsh Fire 0, MI London 5.
Teams
Welsh Fire
- · Poor overall record at Sophia Gardens: 5-14 (19 matches)
MI London
- · Won 8 of last 10 (10 matches)
Players
Welsh Fire
Philip Dean Saltbat
- · 47 runs in 1 innings in 2026 at an average of 47, striking at 127 (1 inns, 37 balls)
- · 1 sixes per innings (1 total) (1 inns, 37 balls)
- · Strikes at 117.9 against MI London in the Hundred, 15% below the league average, averaging 20.83 (106 balls faced)
Lachlan Hammond Fergusonbowl
- · 0 wickets in 1 innings in 2026 at 8.5 runs per 5-ball set (1 inns, 20 balls)
MI London
Samuel Matthew Curranbat
- · 60 runs in 1 innings in 2026 at an average of 60, striking at 153.8 (1 inns, 39 balls)
- · 3 sixes per innings (3 total) (1 inns, 39 balls)
- · Strikes at 122.7 against Welsh Fire in the Hundred, 11.5% below the league average, averaging 20.25 (66 balls faced)
Nicholas Pooranbat
- · 58 runs in 1 innings in 2026 at an average of 58, striking at 263.6 (1 inns, 22 balls)
- · 5 sixes per innings (5 total) (1 inns, 22 balls)
Trent Alexander Boultbowl
- · 1 wickets in 1 innings in 2026 at 4.3 runs per 5-ball set (1 inns, 20 balls)
Stats are computed from ball-by-ball Hundred data only — never mixed with T20 — and show their sample sizes.